Trend-Following

Momentum-Based Diversification

What is trend-following? Trend systematically seeks to profit from momentum in asset prices. A long-established, institutional strategy with ~USD 340bn in global AUM, trend-following buys assets with rising prices and sells assets with falling prices, seeking to capture ongoing trends. Uses a diversified futures universe across all major asset classes: global equity, global bonds, commodities, and currencies. Volatility targeting adjusts position sizes to maintain controlled, consistent risk, while diversification across markets, time horizons and asset classes makes trend a resilient source of return.

How do we construct our trend portfolio? Our trend strategy is built to replicate the behavior of the SG Trend Index benchmark before fees, aiming to improve net results through fee disintermediation and efficient execution. We use a robust regression process to estimate the blend of futures positions that best tracks recent SG Trend returns, supplemented by a range of high-quality trend ETFs. Together, these exposures form a diversified virtual fund-of-funds trend strategy, where allocations are made at the group level to maximize how closely the full mix tracks the SG Trend Index. The result is stable trend-following beta that can be efficiently overlaid, with full implementation control and the potential for net outperformance.

Trend offers high expected returns and supports equity in bear markets

Trend offers high expected returns and supports equity in bear markets

A compelling equity diversifier because of its attractive standalone absolute return and it reliably delivers its best returns during slow equity bear markets

Trend is an excellent diversifier offering crisis alpha

Trend is an excellent diversifier offering crisis alpha

Strong evidence of outperformance during the worst quarters for equity

Trend is a great choice for balanced funds

Trend is a great choice for balanced funds

Slightly negatively correlated with equity over the long-term and low correlation with bonds with high expected return makes trend a compelling diversifier to smooth portfolio returns

Tracking with precision: a demanding target, delivered

Tracking with precision: a demanding target, delivered

Our live track record demonstrates precise and consistent delivery of trend returns

Key Features

  • ✓ Long-established institutional strategy with proven track record
  • ✓ Diversified futures universe across all major asset classes
  • ✓ Buys rising and sells falling prices to capture momentum trends
  • ✓ Volatility targeting maintains controlled, consistent risk
  • ✓ Resilient diversification across markets, time horizons and asset classes
  • ✓ Excellent crisis alpha with strong outperformance during equity bear markets
  • ✓ Low to negative correlation with equity and bonds - natural diversifier
  • ✓ Precise tracking with demonstrated consistent delivery of trend returns

Key Information

Benchmark

SG Trend Index

Global AUM

~USD 340bn

Asset Classes

Equity, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies

Strategy Type

Momentum-Based

Performance

2024 TBD
2023 TBD
2022 TBD
2021 TBD